Final polls for GE15 and round up !!

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Post by TRUSSMAN66 on Thu May 07, 2015 2:24 am

First topic message reminder :

TNS -...............Con 33.................Lab .....32

Panelbase -.......SNP 48................Lab ......26 = wipeout !!

Opinion -..........Con 35.................Lab.......34

Yougov Wales...Lab 39..................Con 25..........Plaid 13 (Change the leader she's crap!!)

Comres .........Con 35..................Lab 30..........(Majority within the margin of error)

Yougov...........Con 34..................Lab 34...................

Ashcroft has Farage winning............

Ashcroft has Clegg safe.........

Ashcroft has IDS number 2 Esther Mcvey behind in her seat.............

Don't forget the big plus for the Tories is voter registration...................Like Republicans in the USA......They are more likely to register.....

Pollsters don't ask are you registered !!





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Post by JDizzle on Fri May 08, 2015 9:09 am

Still reckon Clegg'll snatch his seat. Always a bounce back to the incumbents, as people don't like change, but didn't think it would be that big.

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Post by JDizzle on Fri May 08, 2015 9:09 am

If UKIP have only won 2 seats, Nigel could be in trouble...

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Post by Duty281 on Fri May 08, 2015 9:11 am

I think predicting the results of parties outside the classic three is too difficult.

A huge slap in the face for democracy in this country if SNP get 58 seats whilst UKIP only net two.

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Post by GSC on Fri May 08, 2015 9:13 am

Harman going on live tv.

This should be fun
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Post by Derbymanc on Fri May 08, 2015 9:13 am

Current prediction is con 316, lab 239, snp 58, ld 10, ukip 2.

Could see another debate on splitting scotland again after this

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Post by JDizzle on Fri May 08, 2015 9:15 am

GSC wrote:Harman going on live tv.

This should be fun

...Or not! Probably best for her.

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Post by Steffan on Fri May 08, 2015 9:16 am

So based on the current poll Scotland kick out anyone non-SNP and Plaid Cymru get more seats in Westminster than the English national party of UKIP Laugh

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Post by Lowlandbrit on Fri May 08, 2015 9:18 am

Well now:
YouGov exit poll - CON 284 MPs, LAB 263, LIBS 31, SNP 48, UKIP 2, PLAID 3, GREEN 1

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Post by Steffan on Fri May 08, 2015 9:26 am

Hope the Blue Tories don't get a majority. That would suck

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Post by Ent on Fri May 08, 2015 9:26 am

If Those numbers are right it would be a minority coalition government?

Surely that would be a massive shambles and lead to another election later this year?

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Post by Duty281 on Fri May 08, 2015 9:30 am

Ent wrote:If Those numbers are right it would be a minority coalition government?

Surely that would be a massive shambles and lead to another election later this year?

If the YouGov poll is correct, Labour could perhaps force a coalition with the Lib Dems and the SNP.

Cameron could try to limp on, but it might be too difficult.

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Post by Steffan on Fri May 08, 2015 9:31 am

I'm loving this whatever happens. The Blue Tories and Red Tories not getting their own way for a change. Especially in Scotland and Wales

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Post by Ent on Fri May 08, 2015 9:39 am

Probably not going to be good for the country (any part of it), if there isn't anybody clearly in charge.

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Post by Duty281 on Fri May 08, 2015 9:53 am

Good start for UKIP.

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Post by Steffan on Fri May 08, 2015 9:53 am

First result. Red Tories dominate in Sunderland then

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Post by Steffan on Fri May 08, 2015 9:54 am

Duty281 wrote:Good start for UKIP.
Yes. Lib Dems losing to Green party as well

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Post by GSC on Fri May 08, 2015 9:54 am

Expected
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Post by TRUSSMAN66 on Fri May 08, 2015 10:12 am

Looking like a good night for the blue team and tragedy for Labour.........Greens could double their money which is a surprise..........UKIP stuck on 2 probably...

Wife has a smug p**s taking grin on her face......

Never mind......Such is life !!!


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Post by Steffan on Fri May 08, 2015 10:15 am

TRUSSMAN66 wrote:Wife has a smug p**s taking grin on her face......
Texting "someone" is she?

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Post by TRUSSMAN66 on Fri May 08, 2015 10:17 am

It won't be a Welsh guy...............

Probably a Scot or Irishman............She's like guys with plenty of bollox...

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Post by ShahenshahG on Fri May 08, 2015 10:19 am

Lmao

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Post by Duty281 on Fri May 08, 2015 10:20 am

This might get humiliating for the Lib Dems...


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Post by Steffan on Fri May 08, 2015 10:21 am

TRUSSMAN66 wrote:She's like guys with plenty of bollox...
But for you she made an exception

Very romantic...

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Post by TRUSSMAN66 on Fri May 08, 2015 10:22 am

Steffan wrote:
TRUSSMAN66 wrote:She's like guys with plenty of bollox...
But for you she made an exception

Very romantic...

How do you feel about the result ???

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Post by Steffan on Fri May 08, 2015 10:25 am

TRUSSMAN66 wrote:How do you feel about the result ???
The result isn't in yet Truss. Not expecting anything big from Plaid by the way

Would love SNP to kick the Red Tories out of Scotland mind

A Blue Tory majority would be a disaster

UKIP are doing well as a second/third place party in places but thankfully not winning much

Providing the Blue Tories don't do too well I am all up for a bit of political anarchy

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Post by TRUSSMAN66 on Fri May 08, 2015 10:26 am

Steffan wrote:
TRUSSMAN66 wrote:How do you feel about the result ???
The result isn't in yet Truss. Not expecting anything big from Plaid by the way

Would love SNP to kick the Red Tories out of Scotland mind

A Blue Tory majority would be a disaster

UKIP are doing well as a second/third place party in places but thankfully not winning much

Providing the Blue Tories don't do too well I am all up for a bit of political anarchy

Have you won or lost anymore seats according to the exit poll..............I don't know the score for you pre election......

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Post by Steffan on Fri May 08, 2015 10:27 am

I'm all ready to last the whole night as well by the way Smile

Final polls for GE15 and round up !! - Page 2 11251159_10153014425198089_2087159642068036112_n

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Post by TRUSSMAN66 on Fri May 08, 2015 10:28 am

Steffan wrote:I'm all ready to last the whole night as well by the way Smile

Final polls for GE15 and round up !! - Page 2 11251159_10153014425198089_2087159642068036112_n

I'm going to bed in a minute............Might want Labour to win but not that bothered I'll stay up and watch

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Post by Steffan on Fri May 08, 2015 10:29 am

TRUSSMAN66 wrote:Have you won or lost anymore seats according to the exit poll..............I don't know the score for you pre election......
One seat better in Westminster this time based on poll. More seats than UKIP which lets be honest as a Welsh party finishing higher than your average English right wing vote is quite good

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Post by Duty281 on Fri May 08, 2015 10:33 am

Three successes for UKIP already; three humiliations for the Lib Dems.

Ed Balls and Harman worried.

I won't have enough Champers for this one!

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Post by GSC on Fri May 08, 2015 10:34 am

Not sure anything could top Ed Balls losing his seat.

Its interesting the language used. Rather than rubbish the exit poll, Balls called it disappointing. Labours leadership is reeling I think.
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Post by Mike Selig on Fri May 08, 2015 10:36 am

It might be worth reminding ourselves that so far nothing has happened.

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Post by TRUSSMAN66 on Fri May 08, 2015 10:36 am

Duty281 wrote:Three successes for UKIP already; three humiliations for the Lib Dems.

Ed Balls and Harman worried.

I won't have enough Champers for this one!

2nd place is a success ???

Do me a favor..............

Balls won't lose..

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Post by TRUSSMAN66 on Fri May 08, 2015 10:38 am

GSC wrote:Not sure anything could top Ed Balls losing his seat.

Its interesting the language used. Rather than rubbish the exit poll, Balls called it disappointing. Labours leadership is reeling I think.

You're right...........They know they haven't made it......

Exit polls are never spot on..............A few more Tory losses could be crucial ...............

Clegg is probably the most worried..........

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Post by Lowlandbrit on Fri May 08, 2015 10:47 am

TRUSSMAN66 wrote:Exit polls are never spot on
Except for last time, which was hilarious because everyone laughed at it and they basically sent the pollsters away to come up with a better one, only to see it crawl back towards the initial projection over the night.

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Post by ShahenshahG on Fri May 08, 2015 11:37 am

I enjoyed the look of surprise on their faces as it did that lowlandbrit. Only genuine thing about that election

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Post by Dolphin Ziggler on Fri May 08, 2015 4:19 pm

Bye bye Vincey Cable. Shame, a politician I think it actually decent

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Post by Dolphin Ziggler on Fri May 08, 2015 4:21 pm

And old Charles. Not the best day for the Libs

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Post by Lowlandbrit on Fri May 08, 2015 5:04 pm

Dolphin Ziggler wrote:Not the best day for the Libs
One of their candidates got 80 votes.

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Post by Dolphin Ziggler on Fri May 08, 2015 5:23 pm

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Post by Dolphin Ziggler on Fri May 08, 2015 5:24 pm

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Post by Dolphin Ziggler on Fri May 08, 2015 5:24 pm

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Post by Dolphin Ziggler on Fri May 08, 2015 5:28 pm

Reports suggesting Thanet South haven't even started their count yet. Farage hanging on for as long as possible

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Post by GSC on Fri May 08, 2015 5:51 pm

If Cameron really has got a majority, Miliband might be joining the ranks of worst Labour leaders. Unbelievable Jeff
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Post by Rowley on Fri May 08, 2015 6:34 pm

Steffan wrote:

Would love SNP to kick the Red Tories out of Scotland mind

A Blue Tory majority would be a disaster


Do you not think achieving the first aim has something of an impact on the second statement?

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Post by Hero on Fri May 08, 2015 6:46 pm

Yes and no, the fact Labour failed to gain their main target seat from the Tories, and that Cameron's actually gaining 20 seats on prediction at present shows the Labour campaign in England was a disaster as well.

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Post by Dolphin Ziggler on Fri May 08, 2015 6:49 pm

Apparently the man who loves his own name, Ed Balls, has asked for a recount after being 200 votes behind.

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Post by Derbymanc on Fri May 08, 2015 7:18 pm

Ed Balls has lost his seat by roughly 350 seats with 127 spoilt papers

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Post by GSC on Fri May 08, 2015 7:49 pm

Ed Balls losing his seat is the metaphorical cherry on top.
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Post by Duty281 on Fri May 08, 2015 7:51 pm

Quite glorious.

Labour defeated. Yahoo
Lib Dems defeated. Yahoo
Ed Balls gone. Galloway gone. Yahoo
Miliband and Clegg sure to resign. Yahoo

No Labour for another five years; this country will not sink to the abyss. Yahoo Yahoo Yahoo

Only down point is UKIP getting screwed over by FPTP...then, that was always expected. I'll whisper it quietly, but I wouldn't overly mind if Farage lost in South Thanet.

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