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Aviva Premiership Round 15

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ChequeredJersey
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formerly known as Sam
Jimpy
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Heaf
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Ozzy3213
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Aviva Premiership Round 15 - Page 3 Empty Aviva Premiership Round 15

Post by Ozzy3213 Wed 19 Feb 2014, 4:48 pm

First topic message reminder :



League Table
 
 
POSAviva PremiershipPLAYEDWONDREWLOSTP F P A P D T F T A TBP LBP POINTS
1Northampton Saints141211368199+16942164155
2Saracens141202390203+18740206054
3Bath Rugby141013313230+8330251144
4Harlequins14905256195+6123162240
5Leicester Tigers14824294278+1629242240
6Sale Sharks14707247250-324212535
7London Wasps14608266268-225222733
8Exeter Chiefs14608268267-121251530
9London Irish14509236285-4922250525
10Gloucester144010236320-8423321623
11Newcastle Falcons143011121294-1737320315
12Worcester Warriors140014164370-2061240044



Sat 14:00 Bath Rugby vs. London Wasps
Even with Wilson, Attwood and Ford it is difficult to look beyond Bath in this one.  Wasps were poor in failing to dispatch 14 man Irish last time out, and seemed to be missing leadership and desire.  I'm not sure how they rectify that in a week to be honest, and I can see a comfortable Bath win with Wasps going home with nothing.

Sat 14:00 Gloucester Rugby vs. Harlequins
Quins are not playing well, but they are winning, so they must be doing something right.  The table shows they have conceded the joint fewest amount of tries, so defence is clearly not an issue.  Gloucester know their way to the try line, but only Worcester have conceded more tries and points.  This is a fascinating encounter and not an easy one to predict, but I am going with the home side giving their fans something to cheer and sneaking a close one with Quins heading back to London with a losing bonus point.

Sat 14:00 Worcester Warriors vs. Sale Sharks
These two must be sick of playing each other this season, I think this is game number 5.  Worcester know it's now or never, and defeat here realistically will see them down.  I can see them really tearing into Sale, and I think this is the week they finally break their duck and get the win that can keep their season alive for a bit longer.  Sale will be close enough to go away with a losing bonus point.

Sun 13:00 London Irish vs. Leicester Tigers
Heart says Irish, head says could be Irish but however poor their performances have been, the Tiggers are masters at winning without playing well.  Sorry folks, I'm not calling it, but I will be at the MadStad going absolutely nuts on Sunday!!!

Sun 15:00 Newcastle Falcons vs. Northampton Saints
Newcastle just don't seem to be able to score, averaging a try every other game and less than 10 points per match.  Defensively Saints are one of the best in the league, so I don't see that changing today.  If they can't trouble the scoreboard, Falcons won't trouble Saints, and Northampton will take the spoils here.  I'm tempted to predict them getting the try bonus point as well, and I think Falcons will be down in the dumps picking up 0 points at home.

Sun 15:15 Saracens vs. Exeter Chiefs
Both teams I think have a bit of a point to prove in this one.  Sarries will want to put right the ills to 2 Saturday's ago in front of their own fans.  The Chiefs know their chances of finishing in 4th place are slipping and defeat here could be terminal in that regard.  This will be an absolute slugfest, and I think the Chiefs may have to reset their ambitions to a top 6 finish after this one, with Sarries picking up a win with a try bonus point, and everyone's favourite second team heading back west with nothing.


Last edited by Ozzy3213 on Wed 19 Feb 2014, 5:36 pm; edited 2 times in total
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Post by beshocked Mon 24 Feb 2014, 3:20 pm

Bathite none of them are starters. England are not playing for a week. I expect only the starters to be retained. Well techniquely Wilson is a starter but Lancaster might want him to get some game time.

Farrell Jr will definitely be rested and Billy is injured. Mako,Brad and Alex Goode probably will feature.

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Post by Bathite Mon 24 Feb 2014, 3:25 pm

It is a good guess, but we won't know until Lancaster confirms. He retained Ford for the first two games despite not playing him even in the 23. Attwood might get a start against Italy perhaps (Lawes and Launchbury been awesome, but might need a rest. Launch looked fecked at the end of the Ireland game) and Wilson might get a rest as he has only played 100 minutes of rugby since the injury.

What do you think your team might be?

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Post by beshocked Mon 24 Feb 2014, 3:31 pm

I would guess this

1.Vunipola
2.Brits
3.Johnston
4.Borthwick
5.Kruis
6.Brown
7.Burger
8.Joubert

9.De Kock
10.Hodgson
11.Strettle
12.Barritt
13.Tomkins
14.Ashton
15.Goode

16.Barrington
17.Stevens
18.George
19.Smith/Sherriff
20.Wray
21.Wigglesworth
22.Bosch
23.Wyles

What about your team?

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Post by Bathite Mon 24 Feb 2014, 3:44 pm

Wow, that's still incredibly strong! 13 out of 15 full internationals at least and some great depth on the bench

I guess our team will be similar to last week, but with Garvey out (Fa'saliv or Sisi in) and Watson out (Roko in and Banners to bench). If we get Ford, Attwood and Wilson, they will all slot in for Heathcote, Hooper and Orlandi respectively

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Post by AsLongAsBut100ofUs Mon 24 Feb 2014, 5:28 pm

Very frustrating - Baxter demanded a response from the players after coming so close in the last few games, and the difference was palpable for the first 15mins or so. After that, we seemed to go off the boil, stopped playing as a team, and allowed the Sarries pack to assert their dominance. Bravo Saracens clap Very frustrating

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Post by ChequeredJersey Mon 24 Feb 2014, 6:09 pm

PLeaaaaaaaaaaaaaaase can Nev come back soon?

And our pack play better even with no Robshaw or Marler and Collier out for the season they need to man up a bit
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Post by beshocked Tue 25 Feb 2014, 8:37 am

Bathite it might look good on paper but the backs aren't really firing at the moment with too many handling errors.

I think I chose Johnston more in hope than expectation - I think Stevens will start even though I rate Johnston higher at the moment.


Thanks aslongasbut100ofus. The way Exeter came out of the blocks was scary. For about 15 minutes it seemed like Saracens could not make a tackle.

I think Sarries missed around 6 consecutive tackles on your no 14. Flimsy tackling is not something I am used to as a Saracens fan. Blowing try scoring opportunities is.


Perhaps I am being harsh but I believe Exeter are missing a bit of star power to turn those marginal losses into wins. Not saying you need to go overboard but with the 500k increase in the cap you could at least bring in at least one big name. No I don't count Thomas Waldrom (plus it's debatable whether he's better than Ewers).

Only need to look at how influential certain players are to sides. E.g. look at Quins - struggling without the likes of Brown,Care and Robshaw. Manu is such an important attacking weapon to Tigers. The Vunipola bros - so useful to Saracens as ball carriers etc.

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Post by AsLongAsBut100ofUs Tue 25 Feb 2014, 9:20 am

beshocked wrote:Bathite it might look good on paper but the backs aren't really firing at the moment with too many handling errors.

I think I chose Johnston more in hope than expectation - I think Stevens will start even though I rate Johnston higher at the moment.


Thanks aslongasbut100ofus. The way Exeter came out of the blocks was scary. For about 15 minutes it seemed like Saracens could not make a tackle.

I think Sarries missed around 6 consecutive tackles on your no 14. Flimsy tackling is not something I am used to as a Saracens fan. Blowing try scoring opportunities is.


Perhaps I am being harsh but I believe Exeter are missing a bit of star power to turn those marginal losses into wins. Not saying you need to go overboard but with the 500k increase in the cap you could at least bring in at least one big name. No I don't count Thomas Waldrom (plus it's debatable whether he's better than Ewers).

Only need to look at how influential certain players are to sides. E.g. look at Quins - struggling without the likes of Brown,Care and Robshaw. Manu is such an important attacking weapon to Tigers. The Vunipola bros - so useful to Saracens as ball carriers etc.

Yep, I totally agree - Exe and Rob Baxter have to some extent hidden behind the not wanting to disrupt the team ethos with a star signing line, but I don't think that one necessarily follows the other by any means- you just have to look at Schalk Brits, for example, to see what a committed team man he is. So I'd like a top quality centre, ideally, instead of the likes of Adam Hughes from N-GD and currently on loan at Bristol who is rumoured to be on his way - what the feic is he going to bring except back-up? V frustrating. Totally agree that the likes of Moray Low and Thomas Waldrom do not fit into that category either. I admire that we're clearly determined to give our youngsters a huge amount of experience early on (presumably in the hope that they will be around for a long time), but some kind of balance needs to be found - LC-D and Slade both showed their inexperience at times yesterday and could still learn heaps from top quality mentors alongside them

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Post by yappysnap Tue 25 Feb 2014, 4:28 pm

I know the feeling ASBO.

The problem is any star player that may be around will definitely be in contact with other clubs too. Clubs in France can always pay more, likewise teams like Bath, Saints and Sarries can all probably offer extra money and top level rugby.

It's tough for any club not in the top 4 IMO to offer something that others can't match.

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Post by Bathman_in_London Tue 25 Feb 2014, 4:40 pm

You say that yappy, but Quins have had probably the best FH in the NH for a number of years, so non-French clubs can afford/attract good players.

My personal feeling is that with the salary cap it is pointless to target the really big names, the best players are those with a few Bok/AB caps for experience or promising English talent.

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Post by formerly known as Sam Tue 25 Feb 2014, 8:04 pm

Chiefs got Mumm he's been a good signing. A centre with some experience should be available post RWC though that's a season away.

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Post by formerly known as Sam Wed 26 Feb 2014, 5:22 pm

Having watched the game, the Deacon penalty after 30 seconds was never a yellow card. It's a clumsy attempt to contest the ruck, he doesn't hold the ball in. The ball was available but LI had no scrum half to retrieve the ball so Doyle blew up. A number of soft penalties given against both sides, good game though, plenty of attacking intent.

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Post by Ozzy3213 Wed 26 Feb 2014, 6:00 pm

fkas, seriously? A clumsy attempt to contest the ruck??? That is the most ridiculously one-eyed assessment of an incident I think I have ever seen on here!  Laugh 
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Post by LondonTiger Wed 26 Feb 2014, 6:05 pm

I have deliberately not re-looked at the incident.

1) It is irrelevant now, and at the time I was still shouting at the commentators for getting the teams wrong. They seemed to assume the team in green were Leicester.
2) If I had felt it was not a YC, then I knew my view would be mocked.
3) If I felt it was worthy of a YC I would have to be gracious - and that is just not on.

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Post by Ozzy3213 Wed 26 Feb 2014, 6:10 pm

LT, it may or may not be worth a yellow card, that's a pretty subjective viewpoint in all honesty, so can be argued until the cows come home.

It's just the description of what happened which made me laugh!  Laugh 
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Post by formerly known as Sam Wed 26 Feb 2014, 8:27 pm

Player who isn't the quickest desperately scrabbling back trying to stop his player being turned over. Smashes the first guy he can but isn't onside as he does so. In at the side clearly but It's not cynical as you claimed.

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Post by Ozzy3213 Wed 26 Feb 2014, 8:33 pm

Mate, it was as cynical as feck. He lines the player up and his reaction afterwards says it all. He is mightily fecked off with the players who let the ball bounce in the first place for putting him in the position where he had to give away the penalty and potentially risk being carded.

I suppose his block on Cowan from an offside position for the Youngs try was because he is slow and was trying to get back onside!!!

Look, it's all academic now, the ref made his decisions and the result is as it is, but let's not try to dress up play that is deliberate cheating as something else.
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Post by Bathite Thu 27 Feb 2014, 12:13 pm

Bath team for Saracens at home

15. Nick Abendanon 
14. Anthony Watson 
13. Ollie Devoto 
12. Kyle Eastmond 
11. Matt Banahan 
10. George Ford 
9. Peter Stringer 
1. Paul James 
2. Ross Batty 
3. Anthony Perenise 
4. Dominic Day 
5. Dave Attwood 
6. Alafoti Fa'osiliva 
7. Francois Louw ( c ) 
8. Leroy Houston 

Replacements 

16. Eusebio Guinazu 
17. Nathan Catt 
18. Juan Pablo Orlandi 
19. Ryan Caldwell 
20. Guy Mercer 
21. Micky Young 
22. Gavin Henson 
23. Semesa Rokoduguni

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Post by Bathite Thu 27 Feb 2014, 12:14 pm

Sarries team

Saracens starting XV vs Bath; 
15. Alex Goode; 
14. David Strettle, 
13. Joel Tomkins, 
12. Brad Barritt, 
11. Chris Wyles; 
10. Charlie Hodgson, 
9. Neil de Kock; 
1. Mako Vunipola, 
2. Schalk Brits, 
3. James Johnston, 
4. Steve Borthwick ©, 
5. George Kruis, 
6. Jackson Wray 
7. Jacques Burger , 
8. Ernst Joubert. 

Replacements; 16. Jamie George, 17. Richard Barrington, 18. Matt Stevens, 19. Eoin Sheriff, 20. Kelly Brown, 21. Richard Wigglesworth, 22. Duncan Taylor, 23. Marcelo Bosch.

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Post by Bathite Thu 27 Feb 2014, 12:15 pm

I think you guessed 13/15 beshocked, top work!

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Post by Bathite Thu 27 Feb 2014, 12:16 pm

Bathite wrote:Bath team for Saracens at home

15. Nick Abendanon 
14. Anthony Watson 
13. Ollie Devoto 
12. Kyle Eastmond 
11. Matt Banahan 
10. George Ford 
9. Peter Stringer 
1. Paul James 
2. Ross Batty 
3. Anthony Perenise 
4. Dominic Day 
5. Dave Attwood 
6. Alafoti Fa'osiliva 
7. Francois Louw ( c ) 
8. Leroy Houston 

Replacements 

16. Eusebio Guinazu 
17. Nathan Catt 
18. Juan Pablo Orlandi 
19. Ryan Caldwell 
20. Guy Mercer 
21. Micky Young 
22. Gavin Henson 
23. Semesa Rokoduguni

As expected, no Wilson and Garvey hasn't recovered from injury, which is a massive loss.

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Post by formerly known as Sam Thu 27 Feb 2014, 5:31 pm

The block for the Youngs try is text book. You know the 9 is picking it up so you step into the defensive guard on your side of the ruck to stop him hassling your SH. Keep your hands down so there's no obvious holding for the ref to spot and happy days. Considering the amount of blocking that LI dis off the ball I thought it was amusing that we profited from the second most obvious case in the game. Nice to see a Tigers player showing some savvy, far too many moronic moments this season ala Waldrom in the second half, that was cynical (and stupid).

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