Betting on mayweather v alvarez

First topic message reminder :

The odds for the fights yesterday was 5/1 for Alvarez to win by stoppage and 8/15 for mayweather to win by points (betfred odds other stores had better odds).

In my opinion the above odds as an easy way to make money (sonmething I did). There was really only ever going to be one outcome  of maywether on points and a second most unlikely outcome of Alvarez winning by ko



If you bet £15 on Alvarez to win by KO you would walk out a winner with £90 (£75 winnings + £15 bet return).

If you bet £15 on Mayweather to win on points you would walk out with £23 (£8 winnings and £15 bet return).


So if you believe the two most likely situations to happen in the above fight is mayweather points of alvarez ko then in order to get a profit gambling on the two above outcomes you would need to Bet a minimum of £15 for alvarez to win by KO to get a profit of £75 (potential loss of £15) or £30 on mayweather to win on points to get a profit of £16 (potential loss of £30)

So if you put the above bets on then if alvarez won by KO you would walk away with a £45 profit after deducting your £30 losing bet on mayweather.

If Mayweather won by points you would walk away with a £1 profit after deducting your £15 losing bet on alvarez.

The above is when you put just a £15 bet on. Put a £15,000 bet on alvarez and a £30,000 bet on mayweather and you walk away with a £1000 profit if mayweather won and £45,000 if Alvarez won by ko.

I think the fight yesterday was easy money because we all knew floyd was 90% going to win by points and the other 10% was Alvarez to win by KO in my view. No way was floud going to ko the much bigger alvarez and no way was alvarez going to outwork floyd for 12 rounds to win a decision. only way alvarez would win was by ko.

Just thought I would share my boxing strategy for placing bets on how to basically be 'guaranteed' a profit.

The Terror of Tylorstown wrote:You know message me on here what site you play poker on and i'll give you a game, let me witness first hand these legendary gambling skills.

    

You have a loooong wait for that to happen.

The Terror of Tylorstown wrote:You know message me on here what site you play poker on and i'll give you a game, let me witness first hand these legendary gambling skills.

Pokerstars, fulltilt and betfred poker I play on so pick which site you want to play me on and lets do it. Cash game or sit and go tourn it's up to you (either way I will take your money

    

Pokerstars is better so we can play Razz

I'd rather maximise my winnings and go for a cash game, i'm fairly confident that a professional gambler who doesn't know the difference between a split decision and a majority decision wont be up to much.

The Terror of Tylorstown wrote:I'd rather maximise my winnings and go for a cash game, i'm fairly confident that a professional gambler who doesn't know the difference between a split decision and a majority decision wont be up to much.

Actually you will lose winnings playing Heads up cash games compared to heads up sit and gos. The rake from a cash game heds up would eat into your winnings more than the rake from a heads up tournament.

Also even if there was no rake how would you get more winnings from heads up cash games against one same opponent? If we start off with $50 each in a cash game and I lose it all I would have to rebuy another $50. If we play a $50 sit and go tournament and I lose it I would just enter another $50 sit and go tournament so the winnigs are the same if you keep beating me.

But anyway as discussed heads up cash games are killed by the rake.

What are your usernames Champagne?

Scottrf wrote:What are your usernames Champagne?

How many people want to play me haha

Champagne_Socialist wrote:

Scottrf wrote:What are your usernames Champagne?

How many people want to play me haha

In all honesty I wouldn't disclose my usernames on here anyway. My poker accounts need to remain anonymous for many reasons, bt if you wish to discuss poker we sure can.

Champagne_Socialist wrote:

The Terror of Tylorstown wrote:I'd rather maximise my winnings and go for a cash game, i'm fairly confident that a professional gambler who doesn't know the difference between a split decision and a majority decision wont be up to much.

Actually you will lose winnings playing Heads up cash games compared to heads up sit and gos. The rake from a cash game heds up would eat into your winnings more than the rake from a heads up tournament.

Also even if there was no rake how would you get more winnings from heads up cash games against one same opponent? If we start off with $50 each in a cash game and I lose it all I would have to rebuy another $50. If we play a $50 sit and go tournament and I lose it I would just enter another $50 sit and go tournament so the winnigs are the same if you keep beating me.

But anyway as discussed heads up cash games are killed by the rake.

Blinds and antes stay the SAME in cash. HU Tournament blinds and antes are on a CLOCK. VERY different styles of poker.

YDKSAB wrote:

Champagne_Socialist wrote:

The Terror of Tylorstown wrote:I'd rather maximise my winnings and go for a cash game, i'm fairly confident that a professional gambler who doesn't know the difference between a split decision and a majority decision wont be up to much.

Actually you will lose winnings playing Heads up cash games compared to heads up sit and gos. The rake from a cash game heds up would eat into your winnings more than the rake from a heads up tournament.

Also even if there was no rake how would you get more winnings from heads up cash games against one same opponent? If we start off with $50 each in a cash game and I lose it all I would have to rebuy another $50. If we play a $50 sit and go tournament and I lose it I would just enter another $50 sit and go tournament so the winnigs are the same if you keep beating me.

But anyway as discussed heads up cash games are killed by the rake.

Blinds and antes stay the SAME in cash. HU Tournament blinds and antes are on a CLOCK. VERY different styles of poker.

What you are saying is corret but it has nothing to do with anything anyone was talking about. If I enter a $50 tournament against terror the blinds increasing has no impact on the $50 entrance fee.

You could talk about enetering a deep stack tournament, a turbo tournament a shoot out tournament etc but the buy in stays the same regardless.

The odds for the fights yesterday was 5/1 for Alvarez to win by stoppage and 8/15 for mayweather to win by points (betfred odds other stores had better odds).

In my opinion the above odds as an easy way to make money (sonmething I did). There was really only ever going to be one outcome of maywether on points and a second most unlikely outcome of Alvarez winning by ko

Very easy to write this after the event. The fight ended in a MD, any more dodgy officiating and you'd have lost all your money. Not sure why you bothered betting on an Alzarey KO, just throwing your profits away there.

As for being a professional gambler. Really? Or are you just someone who plays a lot of miner internet poker?