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World Tour Finals

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Haddie-nuff
Danny_1982
Aut0Gr4ph
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dummy_half
monty junior
Mad for Chelsea
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CaledonianCraig
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Henman Bill
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Born Slippy
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Post by Guest82 Fri Oct 28, 2016 1:16 pm

First topic message reminder :

Is this going to be the worst quality one of all time?

No one is going to be in form, bar Murray, who is starting to look tired.

Djokovic - hasn't played well since RG
Murray - trying to be YE no1 must be tiring him out. To win Vienna and Paris will be his last four tournaments won I think.
Stan - is he ever in form, except for at the business end of the odd slam he wins. Nearly lost to The Donald yesterday.
Raonic - lost to Berankis (who lost to Marcus Willis at Wimbledon) this week.
Nishikori - probably in the next best form after Murray.
Monfils - Injured. Last seen losing to Gastao Elias.
Thiem - hasn't played well since before Wimbledon. Burn out/injury. Lost to Troicki in his home tournament.
Berdych - lost to Basilashvili this week.

Goffin - lost early, although to Delpo, this week.
Cilic - probably a bit far back.

I've got tickets too!

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Post by Mad for Chelsea Sat Nov 19, 2016 11:04 pm

It feels like it may be a bridge too far for Murray tomorrow certainly. Djokovic looks to have found a bit more motivation in trying to regain the n°1 ranking for YE, while Murray has looked rather knackered this week. Then again, I've felt that way probably since Paris, where he also looked not particularly fresh, and he won that, and has kept winning this week. So you never know, the winning habit and all that...

I do feel it's crucial that he starts well tomorrow, even today Djokovic was making a few errors, and if Murray can stay with him on the scoreboard or get ahead you do wonder if the doubts of the last few months will start creeping back in.

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Post by Jermaine2015 Sat Nov 19, 2016 11:34 pm

Djokovic was imperious and playing like the true world #1. Murray's been beating the lesser likes such as Tsonga, Dimitrov, Bautista Agut and Isner. Djokovic is a total different level and coupled with the knowledge Murray is the Serb's Bitch. Djokovic in straight sets.

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Post by Born Slippy Sat Nov 19, 2016 11:53 pm

Mad for Chelsea wrote:It feels like it may be a bridge too far for Murray tomorrow certainly. Djokovic looks to have found a bit more motivation in trying to regain the n°1 ranking for YE, while Murray has looked rather knackered this week. Then again, I've felt that way probably since Paris, where he also looked not particularly fresh, and he won that, and has kept winning this week. So you never know, the winning habit and all that...

I do feel it's crucial that he starts well tomorrow, even today Djokovic was making a few errors, and if Murray can stay with him on the scoreboard or get ahead you do wonder if the doubts of the last few months will start creeping back in.
Murray looks shattered and I think he's also struggling with his shoulder. His serve was lacking any real sting today. I think it will be something like 64 62 to Novak. Good tournament for Andy though. He will be within 500 points even if he loses and, with Nole defending everything at the start of the year, he's given himself a great shot at getting back to number 1 early next year.

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Post by Henman Bill Sun Nov 20, 2016 12:21 am

I was going to come on here and say Djokovic is favourite as well. Many reasons tiredness, form and record at the tournament. Don't write Murray off though.

There's still the factor of the last few months form.

I'd make it 60/40 Djoko.

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Post by Henman Bill Sun Nov 20, 2016 12:24 am

I've said it before and I'll say it again, they need an extra rest day between semi and final.

How about a special Friday night session of 2 singles, one at 6.30pm and one at 9pm.

And a Friday day session of both doubles.

And a special match on Saturday with up and coming young players, old timers etc.

Normally playing consecutive days in 3-set matches is OK but the WTF has that end of season tiredness factor, and the competition is always top players, consistently gruelling to get to the final.

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Post by Aut0Gr4ph Sun Nov 20, 2016 12:41 am

Jermaine2015 wrote:Djokovic was imperious and playing like the true world #1. Murray's been beating the lesser likes such as Tsonga, Dimitrov, Bautista Agut and Isner. Djokovic is a total different level and coupled with the knowledge Murray is the Serb's Bitch. Djokovic in straight sets.

Umm, Murray has been labouring this tournament, but he has just beaten 4 top 10 players in a row. Your comment seems about a week out of date. Agree though that Novak's form is starting to look ominous.

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Post by Aut0Gr4ph Sun Nov 20, 2016 1:18 am

Incredible grit from Andy. Has looked out of sorts all tournament, but has still mustered a run to the final. I fear that the showdown with Nole will prove a bridge too far, but, if he does prevail, few will doubt that he will have earned the year end number one.

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Post by Danny_1982 Sun Nov 20, 2016 10:35 am

I must admit I feel a little robbed of a great occasion tonight. The top two in a shootout for year end number 1, in the back yard of the guy trying to achieve it for the first time... but in reality, having twice broke the record for longest BO3 match in ATP finals in 4 days, I struggle to see how Andy can beat a comparatively fresh Novak.

We've seen Andy have battles in AO semi finals and consequently run out of gas mid way through the final, and that's with a days rest, so I can't see anything but a straight sets Novak win.

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Post by CaledonianCraig Sun Nov 20, 2016 11:15 am

Jermaine2015 wrote:Djokovic was imperious and playing like the true world #1. Murray's been beating the lesser likes such as Tsonga, Dimitrov, Bautista Agut and Isner. Djokovic is a total different level and coupled with the knowledge Murray is the Serb's Bitch. Djokovic in straight sets.

Ah the lesser likes in a spell when Djokovic has been losing against these 'lesser likes' such as Cilic (Paris), Bautista-Agut (Shanghai), Sam Querrey (Wimledon) and others. Laugh
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Post by CaledonianCraig Sun Nov 20, 2016 11:20 am

Danny_1982 wrote:I must admit I feel a little robbed of a great occasion tonight. The top two in a shootout for year end number 1, in the back yard of the guy trying to achieve it for the first time... but in reality, having twice broke the record for longest BO3 match in ATP finals in 4 days, I struggle to see how Andy can beat a comparatively fresh Novak.

We've seen Andy have battles in AO semi finals and consequently run out of gas mid way through the final, and that's with a days rest, so I can't see anything but a straight sets Novak win.

I really am pretty chilled about it actually as if he loses then so be it as the No 1 spot has already been achieved and more than likely it will be back in Andy's possession early next year. The chief factor in the result here will be Murray's fatigue. Whatever happens he will go into 2017 full of beans.
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Post by Born Slippy Sun Nov 20, 2016 2:11 pm

CaledonianCraig wrote:
Danny_1982 wrote:I must admit I feel a little robbed of a great occasion tonight. The top two in a shootout for year end number 1, in the back yard of the guy trying to achieve it for the first time... but in reality, having twice broke the record for longest BO3 match in ATP finals in 4 days, I struggle to see how Andy can beat a comparatively fresh Novak.

We've seen Andy have battles in AO semi finals and consequently run out of gas mid way through the final, and that's with a days rest, so I can't see anything but a straight sets Novak win.

I really am pretty chilled about it actually as if he loses then so be it as the No 1 spot has already been achieved and more than likely it will be back in Andy's possession early next year. The chief factor in the result here will be Murray's fatigue. Whatever happens he will go into 2017 full of beans.
Agree with both these posts. Ultimately, the YE1 would be nice for Andy but he's had to kill himself over several weeks to give himself a chance. I'd love to see a great match this evening but it isn't happening. Hopefully, he can summon one last effort for the year and at least give himself a shot early on to make the score respectable.

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Post by Henman Bill Sun Nov 20, 2016 2:23 pm

Murray winning the first set would keep things more interesting.

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Post by Guest82 Sun Nov 20, 2016 4:37 pm

I think it depends really if Djokovic is actually back to somewhere near his best or was just flattered by poor performances from Nishikori and Goffin. Despite rallying well against Nishikori he missed some simple short balls when pressing. Not certain he's actually back.

Also, is Murray really a better/different player as world number one. Or is he just better than everyone bar Djokovic, which we already knew.

I think the cumulative tiredness of the last few weeks may play a part for Murray. I'm never convinced that these athletes struggle after one or two long matches though. We saw that Murray didn't struggle from the Nishikori match against Stan.

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Post by lags72 Sun Nov 20, 2016 4:52 pm

Yes, it's the overall cumulative effect of the last few weeks rather than just these WTF matches that will play a key part in Murray's performance in London tonight. In total contrast, Djokovic has had a much easier ride in the event, and has played nothing like the amount of tennis Andy has in the closing stages of the season.

The imbalance is especially unfortunate when you consider that it's a long time since any Bo3 Final (none that I recall easily ....?) has had so much resting on the available ranking points.

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Post by Calder106 Sun Nov 20, 2016 5:00 pm

Murray didn't struggle against Wawrinka but he had a day off between matches. That would give him some good recovery time, similar to a best of 5 slam tournament. Now he will have played 3 days in a row including yesterdays marathon against Raonic. Can't see him being fully recovered from that. Think he will need to be aggressive and try to shorten the points as much as possible but Djokovic has to be heavy favourite.

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Post by CaledonianCraig Sun Nov 20, 2016 5:11 pm

Calder106 wrote:Murray didn't struggle against Wawrinka but he had a day off between matches. That would give him some good recovery time, similar to a best of 5 slam tournament. Now he will have played 3 days in a row including yesterdays marathon against Raonic. Can't see him being fully recovered from that. Think he will need to be aggressive and try to shorten the points as much as possible but Djokovic has to be heavy favourite.

Spot on. thumbsup
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Post by Guest82 Sun Nov 20, 2016 7:28 pm

Think Murray has this. Djokovic looks appalling so far.

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Post by Born Slippy Sun Nov 20, 2016 7:33 pm

Novak playing beautifully already. Not yet dropped a point on serve and has been in both of Murrays service games. That said, Murray looks on a different level to his awful display yesterday. Question is whether he can keep it up.

Nothing yet to change my view of an easy win for Novak.

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Post by Guest82 Sun Nov 20, 2016 7:38 pm

Do you think? I think we've seen a lot of unforced errors which are not usual to him. No one been in bother on serve yet, but Murray appears to be hitting the ball better.

I'd back Murray if it gets tight. His confidence may be the difference.

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Post by Aut0Gr4ph Sun Nov 20, 2016 7:44 pm

It's early doors, but I agree that Novak is looking a bit ropey. Didn't see the Nishi match but, judging by this display so far, I'm guessing Nishi must have been very poor indeed to get so resoundingly dispatched.

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Post by Born Slippy Sun Nov 20, 2016 7:45 pm

Djoko smash!

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Post by Born Slippy Sun Nov 20, 2016 7:47 pm

Andy - challenges his own shots that are miles out but doesn't bother challenging Novak's second serve which was way long Doh

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Post by Guest82 Sun Nov 20, 2016 7:48 pm

Djokovic actually played well from the back of the court against Nishikori, but coughed up a lot of errors when attacking, especially when he had earned short balls. By the end Nishikori was going for too much and making lots of errors.

Couple of sloppy forehands in that last game from Murray.

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Post by Born Slippy Sun Nov 20, 2016 7:48 pm

I think Andy must have taken something for his shoulder. Had he served like this yesterday, he'd have been off court in an hour or so.

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Post by Born Slippy Sun Nov 20, 2016 7:50 pm

This is a seriously good match so far. If Andy maintains this level, we could get a couple of cracking sets.

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Post by Aut0Gr4ph Sun Nov 20, 2016 7:50 pm

Describing Novak's play as appalling is a bit of a stretch, so I guess I'm somewhere in the middle. Totally agree that a battle hardened Murray could have a match play advantage if it goes deep, but that could, of course, be balanced by Novak's fresher legs.

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Post by Aut0Gr4ph Sun Nov 20, 2016 7:54 pm

Born Slippy wrote:Andy - challenges his own shots that are miles out but doesn't bother challenging Novak's second serve which was way long Doh

He's not even top 100 calibre when it comes to challenges. To be fair though, I do think he uses them tactically at times to get a breather. On that second serve, Andy managed to hit a really deep return, which I think influenced his decision to play on.

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Post by Aut0Gr4ph Sun Nov 20, 2016 7:58 pm

Think I'm right that Andy has never beaten Novak from a set down. So, particularly given mileage in the legs, this first set is huge for Andy. He will serve for it!

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Post by Aut0Gr4ph Sun Nov 20, 2016 8:00 pm

Serving out sets has not been Andy's forte lately.

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Post by Guest82 Sun Nov 20, 2016 8:01 pm

Murray just playing the big points better. Roles reversed to how it used to be - Djokovic always seemed to be able to keep the ball in all day, now it's Murray.

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Post by Aut0Gr4ph Sun Nov 20, 2016 8:03 pm

But serve it out he does. Not sure how much Novak really want this, but we will see.

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Post by lags72 Sun Nov 20, 2016 8:04 pm

Djokovic came out looking as determined & focused as I have ever seen him.

One word for Murray so far : Excellent

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Post by CaledonianCraig Sun Nov 20, 2016 8:05 pm

Epic stuff Andy. Been on the court three hours longer than Novak yet he is still doing all the pressing and takes the first set 6-3.
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Post by Aut0Gr4ph Sun Nov 20, 2016 8:07 pm

No question Andy has been excellent, but there have been some uncharacteristic misses from Novak, particularly on the big points.

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Post by slashermcguirk Sun Nov 20, 2016 8:09 pm

Pains me to say this as a Djokovic fan for so many years but I think Novak is on the way out. He is a shadow of the player he was. His game is just woeful, hitting basic backhands into the bottom of the net.

I think since the French his motivation and passion for the game is deserting him. This match could be over very shortly. I don't think Djokovic enjoys the game anymore, he looks so withdrawn.

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Post by CaledonianCraig Sun Nov 20, 2016 8:15 pm

slashermcguirk wrote:Pains me to say this as a Djokovic fan for so many years but I think Novak is on the way out. He is a shadow of the player he was. His game is just woeful, hitting basic backhands into the bottom of the net.

I think since the French his motivation and passion  for the game is deserting him. This match could be over very shortly. I don't think Djokovic enjoys the game anymore, he looks so withdrawn.

I will just say this to you - remember my epitaph thread. Wink
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Post by Aut0Gr4ph Sun Nov 20, 2016 8:16 pm

Novak's BH is breaking down here and Andy grabs the early break. One danger is that Novak finds a way to raise his game and Andy takes a while to adjust. Can't quite believe that Novak will keep leaking these errors for the rest of the match.

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Post by Guest Sun Nov 20, 2016 8:17 pm

I have to say this is the worst Djokovic I've seen since about 2009.

So tentative. Every time he steps into the court he misses.

Murray has been pretty much flawless, albeit not been put under any pressure.

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Post by CaledonianCraig Sun Nov 20, 2016 8:17 pm

Aut0Gr4ph wrote:No question Andy has been excellent, but there have been some uncharacteristic misses from Novak, particularly on the big points.

Yes but isn't that the way. When Novak was undisputed top dog I watched Murray missing shots he'd normally get. It is what happens when one is on a roll and the other is striving for belief/confidence at key moments.
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Post by Guest82 Sun Nov 20, 2016 8:19 pm

Agree. Djokovic is on the way down.

I suspect he'll become similar to Rafa for the next year or so. Everyone waiting for him to step up, but him never quite managing it.

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Post by Aut0Gr4ph Sun Nov 20, 2016 8:20 pm

slashermcguirk wrote:Pains me to say this as a Djokovic fan for so many years but I think Novak is on the way out. He is a shadow of the player he was. His game is just woeful, hitting basic backhands into the bottom of the net.

I think since the French his motivation and passion  for the game is deserting him. This match could be over very shortly. I don't think Djokovic enjoys the game anymore, he looks so withdrawn.

You have to wonder whether it's really in Novak's interest to snatch back the number one spot so soon. Given the mass of points he has to defend early next year, he's unlikely to hang on to it for long. Perhaps better to relinquish it and look to regroup, rather than being the hunted.

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Post by Aut0Gr4ph Sun Nov 20, 2016 8:21 pm

Having said that, no question that year end number one matters, so not surprised if Novak's a bit conflicted.

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Post by lags72 Sun Nov 20, 2016 8:26 pm

Novak cannot be sure if he will get the chance to end another year as World No 1 after this one, thus adding to his legacy. I cannot believe he won't give it his best shot for the remainder of this match.

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Post by Aut0Gr4ph Sun Nov 20, 2016 8:27 pm

Could do with an insurance break here. This match will mean a lot more to Murray, so fair chance he will get tight as he approaches the finish line.

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Post by Aut0Gr4ph Sun Nov 20, 2016 8:39 pm

Murray loses his no claim bonus. Novak seems to have woken up.

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Post by Aut0Gr4ph Sun Nov 20, 2016 8:40 pm

That DF at 30-15 4-1 could be costly for Andy. Needs to keep believing.

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Post by lags72 Sun Nov 20, 2016 8:42 pm

Novak looking sharp now.

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Post by Aut0Gr4ph Sun Nov 20, 2016 8:43 pm

This game is huge.

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Post by Aut0Gr4ph Sun Nov 20, 2016 8:46 pm

Andy holds and will get to serve for it at worst.

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Post by Aut0Gr4ph Sun Nov 20, 2016 8:50 pm

Can see Novak going into wall mode here, so some free points on serve would be very welcome.

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