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Ukraine

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Samo
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Post by mountain man Fri 24 Feb 2023, 10:27 am

First topic message reminder :

Today is first anniversary of the ahem, "special operation" that Russia has mounted against Ukraine. Been several excellent documentaries on it, the BBC Panorama one on Tuesday was superb.
Horrendous what that utter $%"^ Putin is doing.

Can only hope Western backing doesn't diminish. There is opposition to support America is giving from the Republican party apparently. Without support from Nato countries Ukraine won't win, even with it's going to be another brutal year at least.

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Post by JuliusHMarx Fri 09 Jun 2023, 1:36 pm

Duty281 wrote:
JuliusHMarx wrote:
TRUSSMAN66 wrote:
superflyweight wrote:
TRUSSMAN66 wrote:So in conclusion.....Russia blew up their own bridge....Targeted their own nuclear plant...Destroyed their own pipeline and screwed up a dam that fed water to Crimea that was one of the places they supposedly went to war to protect..

Not very clever these Ruskies..

Did you fall out of your mum halfway up a ladder?

Don't let me keep you from talking about knitting or whatever it is you do with the boys on the Tea thread..

That makes me so angry. It's crochet, not knitting.

But what I want to know, and it's so important, is do the cucumber sandwiches come before or after the knitting? Sorry, crocheting.

Don't think in such binary terms.
During!

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Post by the-goon2 Fri 09 Jun 2023, 2:03 pm

Soul Requiem wrote:
the-goon2 wrote:
Soul Requiem wrote:
the-goon2 wrote:If it's so obvious, answer it!

The road on top of it might have something to do with it.

So he gets to destroy the road on the dam. Great. it's road he currently occupies, so only his army can use it for the moment. But it could be used by Ukraine if they counter attack. However if Putin is looking to push forward, it will impact his supply lines.

What is the cost of destroying that key road. Well the land he occupies, were plenty of ethnic Russians live is destroyed, water for Crimea (which he has occupied illegally since 2014) is compromised. Basically makes the land he fought for useless for years.

What else does he gain by doing that?

Occupying land doesn't mean it's your land, it is still Ukrainian sovereign territory lived in by Ukrainians. He's not fighting for land to use, he's fighting for land to subjugate the Ukranian people.

Now I completely agree that it's Ukrainian land, but I think Putin does see it as his own. That's why I'm surprised if he did it. Not to mention the impact on Crimea, which isn't his either de jure, but de facto is.

Equally, why would Zelensky do the same? It's his land right?

Who do you think it disrupts the most right now in the war? I'd say that's the angle to take.


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Post by Pal Joey Fri 09 Jun 2023, 2:07 pm

the-goon2 wrote:
Soul Requiem wrote:
the-goon2 wrote:
Soul Requiem wrote:
the-goon2 wrote:If it's so obvious, answer it!

The road on top of it might have something to do with it.

So he gets to destroy the road on the dam. Great. it's road he currently occupies, so only his army can use it for the moment. But it could be used by Ukraine if they counter attack. However if Putin is looking to push forward, it will impact his supply lines.

What is the cost of destroying that key road. Well the land he occupies, were plenty of ethnic Russians live is destroyed, water for Crimea (which he has occupied illegally since 2014) is compromised. Basically makes the land he fought for useless for years.

What else does he gain by doing that?

Occupying land doesn't mean it's your land, it is still Ukrainian sovereign territory lived in by Ukrainians. He's not fighting for land to use, he's fighting for land to subjugate the Ukranian people.

Now I completely agree that it's Ukrainian land, but I think Putin does see it as his own. That's why I'm surprised if he did it. Not to mention the impact on Crimea, which isn't his either de jure, but de facto is.  

Equally, why would Zelensky do the same? It's his land right?

Who do you think it disrupts the most right now in the war? I'd say that's the angle to take.


Maybe Chechen frogmen did it? Some of them might still hold grudges.

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Post by the-goon2 Fri 09 Jun 2023, 2:10 pm

Pal Joey wrote:
the-goon2 wrote:
Soul Requiem wrote:
the-goon2 wrote:
Soul Requiem wrote:
the-goon2 wrote:If it's so obvious, answer it!

The road on top of it might have something to do with it.

So he gets to destroy the road on the dam. Great. it's road he currently occupies, so only his army can use it for the moment. But it could be used by Ukraine if they counter attack. However if Putin is looking to push forward, it will impact his supply lines.

What is the cost of destroying that key road. Well the land he occupies, were plenty of ethnic Russians live is destroyed, water for Crimea (which he has occupied illegally since 2014) is compromised. Basically makes the land he fought for useless for years.

What else does he gain by doing that?

Occupying land doesn't mean it's your land, it is still Ukrainian sovereign territory lived in by Ukrainians. He's not fighting for land to use, he's fighting for land to subjugate the Ukranian people.

Now I completely agree that it's Ukrainian land, but I think Putin does see it as his own. That's why I'm surprised if he did it. Not to mention the impact on Crimea, which isn't his either de jure, but de facto is.  

Equally, why would Zelensky do the same? It's his land right?

Who do you think it disrupts the most right now in the war? I'd say that's the angle to take.


Maybe Chechen frogmen did it? Some of them might still hold grudges.

Who are they?

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Post by Pal Joey Fri 09 Jun 2023, 2:22 pm

the-goon2 wrote:
Pal Joey wrote:
the-goon2 wrote:
Soul Requiem wrote:
the-goon2 wrote:
Soul Requiem wrote:
the-goon2 wrote:If it's so obvious, answer it!

The road on top of it might have something to do with it.

So he gets to destroy the road on the dam. Great. it's road he currently occupies, so only his army can use it for the moment. But it could be used by Ukraine if they counter attack. However if Putin is looking to push forward, it will impact his supply lines.

What is the cost of destroying that key road. Well the land he occupies, were plenty of ethnic Russians live is destroyed, water for Crimea (which he has occupied illegally since 2014) is compromised. Basically makes the land he fought for useless for years.

What else does he gain by doing that?

Occupying land doesn't mean it's your land, it is still Ukrainian sovereign territory lived in by Ukrainians. He's not fighting for land to use, he's fighting for land to subjugate the Ukranian people.

Now I completely agree that it's Ukrainian land, but I think Putin does see it as his own. That's why I'm surprised if he did it. Not to mention the impact on Crimea, which isn't his either de jure, but de facto is.  

Equally, why would Zelensky do the same? It's his land right?

Who do you think it disrupts the most right now in the war? I'd say that's the angle to take.


Maybe Chechen frogmen did it? Some of them might still hold grudges.

Who are they?

Maybe read up on the Russian - Chechen conflict. It's only been going on for 232 years.

A couple of nasty bearded Chechen characters have recently backed Putin (so they wouldn't have blown the dam wall) but there's many more who'll never forget nor forgive what Russia did to them and their country... and some of them are volunteering themselves to Ukraine's cause. It's a nessy part of the world.

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Post by the-goon2 Fri 09 Jun 2023, 2:33 pm

So on behalf of Ukraine? Or at least some kind of terrorist act to mess up Putin? Interesting.

Careful mind, that kind of speculation will lead you to be called an idiot by our MENSA resident superfly.

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Post by Pal Joey Fri 09 Jun 2023, 2:53 pm

the-goon2 wrote:So on behalf of Ukraine? Or at least some kind of terrorist act to mess up Putin? Interesting.

Careful mind, that kind of speculation will lead you to be called an idiot by our MENSA resident superfly.

I forget the actual number but there are about 25-30 different ethnic groups in and around Russia (it might even be 50 or more) and all of the neighbouring republics. For centuries they have been fighting each other one day, then fighting alongside their enemies the next. Depending on which military power holds sway. It's the way wars are fought in "The World Pivot" - and Ukraine is like a central cog in all of that.

Think of Europe to the west; White Russia (Belaya Rus' = white Russia) the Baltic and Scandinavian countries to the north; dozens of various ethnic groups in newly established republics to the east... across all of Central Asia north of the Himalayas... all the way to the Pacific coast; the Caucasus, Iran, Bulgaria, Turkey, Middle East, etc to the south. That's why Ukraine is so important. Whoever controls that area of Eurasia controls the World Pivot.

Well, that was some bloke's theory early last century (Halford John Mackinder) and it appears he was correct. It's also called "the crush zone" or "shutterbelt" of the world.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Geographical_Pivot_of_History

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Post by Duty281 Fri 09 Jun 2023, 3:17 pm

JuliusHMarx wrote:
Duty281 wrote:
JuliusHMarx wrote:
TRUSSMAN66 wrote:
superflyweight wrote:
TRUSSMAN66 wrote:So in conclusion.....Russia blew up their own bridge....Targeted their own nuclear plant...Destroyed their own pipeline and screwed up a dam that fed water to Crimea that was one of the places they supposedly went to war to protect..

Not very clever these Ruskies..

Did you fall out of your mum halfway up a ladder?

Don't let me keep you from talking about knitting or whatever it is you do with the boys on the Tea thread..

That makes me so angry. It's crochet, not knitting.

But what I want to know, and it's so important, is do the cucumber sandwiches come before or after the knitting? Sorry, crocheting.

Don't think in such binary terms.
During!

Exciting!! xx

Can't think why Truss is so against it.

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Post by the-goon2 Fri 09 Jun 2023, 3:25 pm

Using that logic, it wouldn't really make sense to destroy the region that you are looking to hold long term, if you meet your objectives...
You being Putin in this scenario.

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Post by navyblueshorts Sat 10 Jun 2023, 11:39 am

Soul Requiem wrote:
the-goon2 wrote:If it's so obvious, answer it!

The road on top of it might have something to do with it.
That and making the entire area downstream non-manoeuvrable and, presumably, preventing any effective Ukrainian counter offensive there. Not new. Happened in last couple of World Wars as part of defence cf. German invasion, and the Allies did similar around Zeeland after D-Day etc.
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Post by navyblueshorts Sat 10 Jun 2023, 11:40 am

the-goon2 wrote:
Soul Requiem wrote:
the-goon2 wrote:If it's so obvious, answer it!

The road on top of it might have something to do with it.

So he gets to destroy the road on the dam. Great. it's road he currently occupies, so only his army can use it for the moment. But it could be used by Ukraine if they counter attack. However if Putin is looking to push forward, it will impact his supply lines.

What is the cost of destroying that key road. Well the land he occupies, were plenty of ethnic Russians live is destroyed, water for Crimea (which he has occupied illegally since 2014) is compromised. Basically makes the land he fought for useless for years.

What else does he gain by doing that?
Umm, Putin doesn't give a 4X about people. Thought that was obvious.
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Post by Pal Joey Sat 10 Jun 2023, 3:36 pm

navyblueshorts wrote:
Soul Requiem wrote:
the-goon2 wrote:If it's so obvious, answer it!

The road on top of it might have something to do with it.
That and making the entire area downstream non-manoeuvrable and, presumably, preventing any effective Ukrainian counter offensive there. Not new. Happened in last couple of World Wars as part of defence cf. German invasion, and the Allies did similar around Zeeland after D-Day etc.

The Chinese also destroyed dikes on the Yellow River in 1938 to prevent the Japanese Army getting further inland and protect the Longhai railroad, which was used to transport military supplies from Russia. Up to 90,000 drowned in the immediate aftermath and another 400,000 to 500,000 civilians perished from drowning, famine and plague overall. It took them until 1947 to fix the damage and get things back to normal.

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Post by lostinwales Sat 10 Jun 2023, 11:31 pm

navyblueshorts wrote:
TRUSSMAN66 wrote:
Samo wrote:
JuliusHMarx wrote:
TRUSSMAN66 wrote:
Duty281 wrote:Number one for obesity and shooting up schools.

You ever wonder what would have happened to your little Island if we hadn't have implemented "The Marshall Plan"....$4 billion loan at a paltry 2% over 50 years to a dying Country that came begging....

How much would 4 billion be worth today ???........All because we liked our "little friend"...

Worst investment we ever made....But there is more to life than money... thumbsup


Were you personally involved in any of that? Seems odd to take pride in something you had nothing to do with, other than to happen to be born in the same geographical location in a later time period.

Thats nationalism for you.

No it's saying if it wasn't for People like me you'd either be speaking German or you'd have been bankrupt and dead on your backside...Although I get being proud of your Country is a notion some people find hard to grasp.

The only thing Truman got wrong with the Marshall plan was not insisting Britain changed its name to "America's little B**ch"..

As for Ukr v Rus..........The Korean war...Vietnam...and most other wars in history end in compromise with very little changing....Especially the Korean..

This one will end in compromise too......So let's not have too many families getting devastated...That's what I say....

Broker a way however hard for both both to claim victory.
God, you're arrogant. We wouldn't be speaking German; we'd likely be speaking Russian you plum. As would most of Europe.

One could easily posit that any support from America was wholly selfish and political in order to stymie the U.S.S.R. America ensured that there'd be no British Empire post-WWII. No problem with that - it's geopolitics, but you can just **** off.

Truss is apparently speaking English. I wonder why?

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Post by lostinwales Sat 10 Jun 2023, 11:38 pm

The dam. It was under Russian control. It was built to withstand air attack, and Ukraine have absolutely nothing in their arsenal that would make a dent in it. (Worth pointing out that the bouncing bombs used in WW2 each carried 3 tons of explosives). There is no way that Ukrainian forces could shift enough explosives to blow the thing, even if they wanted to.

At the same time Ukraine said last October that Russia was mining the dam. It was vulnerable to explosives planted inside rooms within the structure.

They may not have appreciated the full impact of blowing the dam. They do seem to be shelling the efforts to rescue people and animals trapped by rising flood waters, and they also seem to have managed to drown significant numbers of their own troops.

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Post by No name Bertie Sun 11 Jun 2023, 9:15 am

xxxxx wrote:
No name Bertie wrote:With regard the dropping of two nuclear bombs on civilians in two Japanese cities .... the effect of the two bombs in significantly shortening  the war and reducing the number of possible final casualties is debatable.

Are you just trolling or did you learn history from David Icke?

The truth is ........

I find it interesting that moralist that criticize other nations constitution and criticize people that defend that constitution every time there is a "mass shooting" resulting in the deaths of four to thirty people (sometimes more) will defend the use of nuclear bombs on cities resulting in the deaths of hundreds of thousands of civilians.  Not only do they defend it they say it was absolutely justified and that this is "non-debatable" and that anybody that says it is debatable needs to get their head examined.

The same will also defend the use of depleted uranium shells to support and propagate regime change operations abroad as well as other conflicts abroad and REJECT suggestions that this can and has resulted in very long term contamination and significant health impacts on civilian populations through the spread of uranium dust in that environment.  

The same will defend American and British regime change operations in nations abroad to get rid of leaders and governments considered "illegitimate" and defend or blame others for the negative consequences of those actions of which there are many for the people and the environment of those territories where such operations are conducted.    

They will wholeheartedly accept what their politicians tell them when justifying these foreign policy interventions and yet they are far more critical or outright reject what their politicians tell them when it comes to justifying domestic policies which affects them.    

Wikipedia (paraphrased):
In 2006, Stephen Hawking posed an open question: "In a world that is in chaos politically, socially and environmentally, how can the human race sustain another 100 years?" .... Hawking expressed concern that life on Earth is at risk from a sudden nuclear war, a genetically engineered virus, global warming, or other dangers humans have not yet thought of ....

"I regard it as almost inevitable that either a nuclear confrontation or environmental catastrophe will cripple the Earth at some point in the next 1,000 years" ...

The way things are heading it is looking like the next ten years rather than the next 1,000 and the moralists will be at the forefront urging it on every step of the way.
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Post by lostinwales Sun 11 Jun 2023, 10:15 am

'Depleted Uranium' Tell us you know nothing of physics and chemistry without actually saying it.

I probably spend far too much time on tw@tter which means my tolerance for these kinds of arguments  is very low, but really this is scraping the barrel, and one that has been hanging around at the dump for a couple of decades.

How did you get so far down the rabbit hole? How do you end up saying regime change imposed by the west is bad but somehow by Russia, noble, caring, communist Russia, is actually OK. (ignoring the rampant corruption, poor living standards, attempted 'regime change' operations in Syria, Georgia, Chechnya etc. the targeting of civilian infrastructure during 'SMO's', the attempted murder of political opponents in the UK with nerve agents, the actual assassination of a political opponent with a REAL radioactive poison (not DU) the attempts to destabilize other countries through funding of stuff like Brexit....

It is perfectly possible to be ambivalent about many things the US (for instance) have done in the past and be grateful for what they are doing now. Big powers are like that. I would say, finding areas where modern Russia have actually helped improved something else in the world is very hard.

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Post by the-goon2 Mon 12 Jun 2023, 12:23 pm

lostinwales wrote:The dam. It was under Russian control. It was built to withstand air attack, and Ukraine have absolutely nothing in their arsenal that would make a dent in it. (Worth pointing out that the bouncing bombs used in WW2 each carried 3 tons of explosives). There is no way that Ukrainian forces could shift enough explosives to blow the thing, even if they wanted to.

At the same time Ukraine said last October that Russia was mining the dam. It was vulnerable to explosives planted inside rooms within the structure.

They may not have appreciated the full impact of blowing the dam. They do seem to be shelling the efforts to rescue people and animals trapped by rising flood waters, and they also seem to have managed to drown significant numbers of their own troops.

No, fair that is a valid angle. Putin doesn't care about anyone in the region, Russian or otherwise. No Russian leader has ever had regard for human life, sadly par for the course in Russia.

I don't think this is the limit of how far he wants to push into Ukraine. Whilst it would hamper any counter offensive, it also hampers Russia's further incursions too. Interesting to think who benefits from that more. I guess it be based on who you think is in a better place to make gains in that region.


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Post by No name Bertie Mon 12 Jun 2023, 2:54 pm

lostinwales wrote:'Depleted Uranium' Tell us you know nothing of physics and chemistry without actually saying it .... really this is scraping the barrel, and one that has been hanging around at the dump for a couple of decades .... with a REAL radioactive poison (not DU)

Who said anything about radioactivity?   What do you think would happen if we spread uranium dust around your town - or put mercury or lead in your water?

The rest is binary thinking.  However the extent with which you defend these things is not out of the ordinary.
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Post by No name Bertie Mon 12 Jun 2023, 3:58 pm

lostinwales wrote:.... How did you get so far down the rabbit hole? ..... communist Russia .... attempts to destabilize other countries through funding of stuff like Brexit....
That is a new one on me. I never knew "communist Russia" was responsible for Brexit. Reading the liberal media as well peoples comments here and elsewhere it was said by many that responsibility lay with racist English people and duplicitous politicians like Boris Johnson and Jacob Rees Mogg.
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Post by TRUSSMAN66 Mon 12 Jun 2023, 4:11 pm

lostinwales wrote:The dam. It was under Russian control. It was built to withstand air attack, and Ukraine have absolutely nothing in their arsenal that would make a dent in it. (Worth pointing out that the bouncing bombs used in WW2 each carried 3 tons of explosives). There is no way that Ukrainian forces could shift enough explosives to blow the thing, even if they wanted to.

At the same time Ukraine said last October that Russia was mining the dam. It was vulnerable to explosives planted inside rooms within the structure.

They may not have appreciated the full impact of blowing the dam. They do seem to be shelling the efforts to rescue people and animals trapped by rising flood waters, and they also seem to have managed to drown significant numbers of their own troops.

Last year Vasily Nebenzya (Russian rep to the United Nations) said he had sources that told him Ukraine were ready to blow up the dam for military advantage....

If that's true I guess Ukraine thought they could blow it up.....They blew up the Nord stream pipelines last year.....

"Washington post article last year cites Ukrainian Major General Andrey Kovalchuk discussing a test to bomb the dam to see if it could prevent Russian crossings without flooding villages"...'The Hill' (US newspaper if you didn't know)

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Post by JuliusHMarx Mon 12 Jun 2023, 4:20 pm

Russian rep to the UN said so - must be true. GOSPEL!

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Post by TRUSSMAN66 Mon 12 Jun 2023, 4:44 pm

JuliusHMarx wrote:Russian rep to the UN said so - must be true. GOSPEL!

Why I added the washington post article....For the corroboration..

Don't bother thanking me... thumbsup

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Post by Duty281 Mon 12 Jun 2023, 4:57 pm

JuliusHMarx wrote:Russian rep to the UN said so - must be true. GOSPEL!

He had SOURCES, Julius.

Apparently tomato and barbeque, although no mayonnaise caused a bit of a stir.

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Post by TRUSSMAN66 Mon 12 Jun 2023, 5:29 pm

Duty281 wrote:
JuliusHMarx wrote:Russian rep to the UN said so - must be true. GOSPEL!

He had SOURCES, Julius.

Apparently tomato and barbeque, although no mayonnaise caused a bit of a stir.

Get your sources to tell me what Diane abbott wrote that was Anti semitic..

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Post by Duty281 Mon 12 Jun 2023, 5:34 pm

TRUSSMAN66 wrote:
Duty281 wrote:
JuliusHMarx wrote:Russian rep to the UN said so - must be true. GOSPEL!

He had SOURCES, Julius.

Apparently tomato and barbeque, although no mayonnaise caused a bit of a stir.

Get your sources to tell me what Diane abbott wrote that was Anti semitic..

This has been answered for you on multiple occasions, Truss.

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Post by TRUSSMAN66 Mon 12 Jun 2023, 5:37 pm

Duty281 wrote:
TRUSSMAN66 wrote:
Duty281 wrote:
JuliusHMarx wrote:Russian rep to the UN said so - must be true. GOSPEL!

He had SOURCES, Julius.

Apparently tomato and barbeque, although no mayonnaise caused a bit of a stir.

Get your sources to tell me what Diane abbott wrote that was Anti semitic..

This has been answered for you on multiple occasions, Truss.

Remind me of the answer anytime you like... thumbsup Cool

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Post by Duty281 Mon 12 Jun 2023, 5:43 pm

OK, it's on page five and page six of the mass shooting thread.

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Post by Samo Sat 24 Jun 2023, 9:00 am

Seems Russia has decided to invade itself. I didnt have “Russian Civil War” on my 2023 bingo card.

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Post by TRUSSMAN66 Mon 26 Jun 2023, 1:10 pm

Samo wrote:Seems Russia has decided to invade itself. I didnt have “Russian Civil War” on my 2023 bingo card.

Damp squib....

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Post by Samo Tue 27 Jun 2023, 9:15 am

TRUSSMAN66 wrote:
Samo wrote:Seems Russia has decided to invade itself. I didnt have “Russian Civil War” on my 2023 bingo card.

Damp squib....

I’ve ran military coups that lasted longer than that.

It has definitely weakened Putins appearance though.

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Post by mountain man Tue 27 Jun 2023, 9:34 am

Rather odd the Yevgeny Prigozhin "rebellion" or whatever it was. In the short time it was ongoing I rather had hopes he'd march onto Moscow and  the Wagner forces could fight it out with Putins thus harming themselves and in turn that would help Ukraine.

Be interesting to know full story of it and what now for Prigozhin. Seems unlikely Putin will let him get away with no sanction seeing as he labelled him a traitor.
Was a it all a ruse to wrong step Ukraine/the West? Unlikely apparently.

If it really was a rebellion then if I was Prigozhin I certainly wouldn't trust Putin to forgive and forget!

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Post by TRUSSMAN66 Tue 27 Jun 2023, 2:21 pm

Samo wrote:
TRUSSMAN66 wrote:
Samo wrote:Seems Russia has decided to invade itself. I didnt have “Russian Civil War” on my 2023 bingo card.

Damp squib....

I’ve ran military coups that lasted longer than that.

It has definitely weakened Putins appearance though.

We'd all like Putin out.....Not sure Prigohzin is someone we want replacing him though...

Got his timing wrong didn't he ??...Should have kept chipping away with his narrative and building support.....But too hot headed.

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Post by mountain man Thu 09 Nov 2023, 8:05 am

It's a fact of news life I suppose as soon as another big story emerges coverage diminishes but after blanket news of Ukraine war every day, now it's never even mentioned on BBC etc as all focus on Gaza etc which is understandable given situation there but it's as if the war has ended which it definitely has not.

I would imagine Zelenzky feeling somewhat hard done by in that aspect as without it being in news then support lessens. US support is wavering a bit and without their backing with financial and arms support the prospect of Ukraine winning is less. Not a good prospect for Ukraine or rest of world if Putin isn't stopped.

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Post by dummy_half Thu 09 Nov 2023, 11:19 am

mountain man wrote:It's a fact of news life I suppose as soon as another big story emerges coverage diminishes but after blanket news of Ukraine war every day, now it's never even mentioned on BBC etc as all focus on Gaza etc which is understandable given situation there but it's as if the war has ended which it definitely has not.

I would imagine Zelenzky feeling somewhat hard done by in that aspect as without it being in news then support lessens. US support is wavering a bit and without their backing with financial and arms support the prospect of Ukraine winning is less. Not a good prospect for Ukraine or rest of world if Putin isn't stopped.

Part of the issue is that the war in Ukraine has reached a sort of stalemate - both sides are in defensive positions and can offensively probe certain areas, but gains in one area seem to mostly be offset with losses in another. Secondly, the conditions in Ukraine make it quite a seasonal conflict, with heavy weapons not being able to operate effectively through the late autumn and early spring months - there may be some operations in the depths of winter when the frozen ground allows tank movement, but the extreme cold conditions still make for difficult operations.

The Gaza conflict / operation / whatever you want to call it, is likely to be short and brutal - Israel have the military equipment and motivation to utterly crush Hamas in Gaza, and are well on the way to achieving this. The bigger question there is what happens afterwards - do they allow a resettlement of Gaza by the Palestinians, and under whose control / Governance?


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Post by navyblueshorts Thu 09 Nov 2023, 3:26 pm

mountain man wrote:It's a fact of news life I suppose as soon as another big story emerges coverage diminishes but after blanket news of Ukraine war every day, now it's never even mentioned on BBC etc as all focus on Gaza etc which is understandable given situation there but it's as if the war has ended which it definitely has not.

I would imagine Zelenzky feeling somewhat hard done by in that aspect as without it being in news then support lessens. US support is wavering a bit and without their backing with financial and arms support the prospect of Ukraine winning is less. Not a good prospect for Ukraine or rest of world if Putin isn't stopped.
To be honest, wouldn't have put it past Putin to have had a word with Iran, who influenced Hamas, who murdered ~1400 Israeli civilians, which led to the knee-jerk macho Israeli overkill we're seeing now, which distracts 'the West' from Russia-Ukraine. Job done...

Probably not, but...
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Post by Samo Thu 09 Nov 2023, 4:32 pm

navyblueshorts wrote:
mountain man wrote:It's a fact of news life I suppose as soon as another big story emerges coverage diminishes but after blanket news of Ukraine war every day, now it's never even mentioned on BBC etc as all focus on Gaza etc which is understandable given situation there but it's as if the war has ended which it definitely has not.

I would imagine Zelenzky feeling somewhat hard done by in that aspect as without it being in news then support lessens. US support is wavering a bit and without their backing with financial and arms support the prospect of Ukraine winning is less. Not a good prospect for Ukraine or rest of world if Putin isn't stopped.
To be honest, wouldn't have put it past Putin to have had a word with Iran, who influenced Hamas, who murdered ~1400 Israeli civilians, which led to the knee-jerk macho Israeli overkill we're seeing now, which distracts 'the West' from Russia-Ukraine. Job done...

Probably not, but...

If this was any other time in history you could easily write this off as conspiracy nonsense. These days? Yeah, I can believe it.

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Post by doctor_grey Sat 18 Nov 2023, 3:22 pm

Samo wrote:
navyblueshorts wrote:
mountain man wrote:It's a fact of news life I suppose as soon as another big story emerges coverage diminishes but after blanket news of Ukraine war every day, now it's never even mentioned on BBC etc as all focus on Gaza etc which is understandable given situation there but it's as if the war has ended which it definitely has not.

I would imagine Zelenzky feeling somewhat hard done by in that aspect as without it being in news then support lessens. US support is wavering a bit and without their backing with financial and arms support the prospect of Ukraine winning is less. Not a good prospect for Ukraine or rest of world if Putin isn't stopped.
To be honest, wouldn't have put it past Putin to have had a word with Iran, who influenced Hamas, who murdered ~1400 Israeli civilians, which led to the knee-jerk macho Israeli overkill we're seeing now, which distracts 'the West' from Russia-Ukraine. Job done...

Probably not, but...

If this was any other time in history you could easily write this off as conspiracy nonsense.  These days? Yeah, I can believe it.
I would go a bit farther.  Disinformation has been a key part of Russian strategies from well before 1917.  So, I believe this is exactly what Russia would do.  And I am sure they did, and are also putting out there some of the manufactured outrage at Israel's actions that the Jew-haters, anti-Israelis, and so on have been lapping up.  

It is a real shame the Arabs who live in Palestine have been used and abused by their so-called benefactors and supporters for such a long time.  Otherwise peace (or a peaceful truce) would have taken hold between the local Arabs and the Israelis, causing the other Arab countries (plus Iran) to lose power and influence in the area.  And that's what we are really talking about, not the imagined upset at how people are (or are not) treated.

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Post by mountain man Sat 17 Feb 2024, 9:31 am

Not directly involving Ukraine but rather than start another topic I'll tag it in here.
Death of Navalny in Russian artic penal colony has come as no surprise but just shows Putin will stop at nothing to silence any and all of his critics. I urge anyone who hasn't seen it to watch documentary "Navalny". About when he was poisoned and almost killed. Really really good.

As for Ukraine, hopefully this will prompt western and Nato allies to keep up and increase support for Ukraine in war against Russia.

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Post by Lowlandbrit Wed 21 Feb 2024, 3:27 pm

doctor_grey wrote:It is a real shame the Arabs who live in Palestine have been used and abused by their so-called benefactors and supporters for such a long time. Otherwise peace (or a peaceful truce) would have taken hold between the local Arabs and the Israelis, causing the other Arab countries (plus Iran) to lose power and influence in the area. And that's what we are really talking about, not the imagined upset at how people are (or are not) treated.
On this, thought this was an interesting explanation of the regional dynamic:
https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2024/02/21/why-arab-states-wont-support-palestinians-qa-00142277

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Post by TRUSSMAN66 Tue 12 Mar 2024, 1:07 pm

Elections still to go in many NATO Countries this year.....as we know NATO are very decisive in shaping international politics....So far it has been good for Ukraine with continued provisioning and funding.  Whether it remains so is a question Zelensky should be musing over....Certainly Trump won't be as generous and populism in other Countries is on the rise.

The only way to resolve this conflict is for some kind of compromise to be made where both leaders save face.....No one wins unless one goes down the Nuclear route..

Yes Russia was the aggressor and in the wrong but it is what it is...

Ukraine needs a fresh vision and strategy for ending the war but I'm not sure Zelensky has it in him....Too busy farming money offshore perhaps..

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Post by navyblueshorts Tue 12 Mar 2024, 2:10 pm

TRUSSMAN66 wrote:Elections still to go in many NATO Countries this year.....as we know NATO are very decisive in shaping international politics....So far it has been good for Ukraine with continued provisioning and funding.  Whether it remains so is a question Zelensky should be musing over....Certainly Trump won't be as generous and populism in other Countries is on the rise.

The only way to resolve this conflict is for some kind of compromise to be made where both leaders save face.....No one wins unless one goes down the Nuclear route..

Yes Russia was the aggressor and in the wrong but it is what it is...

Ukraine needs a fresh vision and strategy for ending the war but I'm not sure Zelensky has it in him....Too busy farming money offshore perhaps..
Yesss. I'm sure you'd be happy enough if Mexico annexed some of the southern USA (or Canada some of its northern states) and everyone else just shrugged and said "It is what it is." ? If populists don't want to help Ukraine, I don't see why that would make them give up, which would likely mean Russia ultimately gobbling all of what's currently Ukraine and Putin justifying to himself that he was right all along - the 'West' is weak, and he can do what he wants. Who'd be next? Moldova? The Baltic states? Poland?
Trump's a c**k and will only ever do what makes him money, personally, no matter whether bent or immoral. I guess Zelensky should cut him a deal for something behind the scenes so that Trump can enrich himself if he agrees to help fund Ukraine's defence?

The compromise is Russia withdraws to its pre-Feb 2022 boundaries and considers itself lucky that no-one insists it also leaves Crimea.

Your actual evidence that Zelensky is a crook is what?
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Post by TRUSSMAN66 Tue 12 Mar 2024, 2:27 pm

navyblueshorts wrote:
TRUSSMAN66 wrote:Elections still to go in many NATO Countries this year.....as we know NATO are very decisive in shaping international politics....So far it has been good for Ukraine with continued provisioning and funding.  Whether it remains so is a question Zelensky should be musing over....Certainly Trump won't be as generous and populism in other Countries is on the rise.

The only way to resolve this conflict is for some kind of compromise to be made where both leaders save face.....No one wins unless one goes down the Nuclear route..

Yes Russia was the aggressor and in the wrong but it is what it is...

Ukraine needs a fresh vision and strategy for ending the war but I'm not sure Zelensky has it in him....Too busy farming money offshore perhaps..
Yesss. I'm sure you'd be happy enough if Mexico annexed some of the southern USA (or Canada some of its northern states) and everyone else just shrugged and said "It is what it is." ?

They could try asking for Texas back......But then again it was too much fun taking it in the first place......But really I don't want to give Mexico or the UK another hammering we have moved on from those days when we threw the red white and blue shield and everybody had to yield...We are the big brother now....Hug Hug

As for Zelensky the Pandora papers are very revealing....Plus the fact he has slowly erased any opposition...By jailing his rivals.

Ukraine is a human rights crap hole just like Russia......Never forget that.....Near the bottom of the table with the banana republics at least they were before they won the Eurovision song contest with a crappy song....Everybody likes them now !!..

But we "Scholars" never forget. Wink Wink

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Post by lostinwales Wed 13 Mar 2024, 9:44 am

You really want to go down the Zelensky rabbit hole? You really do swallow some very dodgy propaganda. Zelensky did use some questionable routes to protect the money he made through his media interests. You know why? Because Ukraine had a bit of a corruption problem at the time, something that is still an issue but one they have been working hard to improve.
As for compromise with Russia how much land, how many dead civilians are you prepared for someone else to pay? Russia has not acted in good faith and any peace settlement that does not involve Russian withdrawal will just be putting off the conflict for a few more years.

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Post by TRUSSMAN66 Wed 13 Mar 2024, 12:07 pm

lostinwales wrote:You really want to go down the Zelensky rabbit hole?  You really do swallow some very dodgy propaganda.  Zelensky did use some questionable routes to protect the money he made through his media interests. You know why?  Because Ukraine had a bit of a corruption problem at the time,  something that is still an issue but one they have been working hard to improve.
As for compromise with Russia how much land,  how many dead civilians are you prepared for someone else to pay? Russia has not acted in good faith and any peace settlement that does not involve Russian withdrawal will just be putting off the conflict for a few more years.

Thank goodness a guy who puts his opposition in jail and hides money is around to fight this corruption...

Ukraine will have to concede some territory.......and Russia will have to concede to the fact they won't get as much as they want...So both can declare victory......Both need to save face.

How many dead civilians should the war carry on endlessly ??

The majority of people for example in Donetsk don't want to be Ukrainian statistics show.....All wars end in compromise generally and this one will be no different.  I want it to end sooner rather than later.  Because I care about lives.

Talking about civilians have you written that you care about 14,000 dead Palestinian children ??.....Can't remember you mentioning that genocide or maybe I missed it....Some people think genocide is okay if the "right" people are doing it.

I'm sure you won't be one of them......

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Post by lostinwales Thu 14 Mar 2024, 12:02 am

Opposition? Who? They shut down the pro Russian idiots but plenty of other parties, including a couple of far right ones who get next to no votes

No point in Ukraine conceding territory. None. Even considering the fact is just slipping into the 'Unbeatable Russian Army' BS. Yes Russia is getting more oil out than anybody would like but wars are very expensive, and so is losing 100's of thousands of what could be economically active men to death, injury or fleeing overseas.

Anyway it is so nice of you to assume the mantle of determining what is right and proper for Ukraine to do. Heaven forbid they make their own minds up about it and about the price worth paying. They are after all the ones living with the knowledge of what happened in Mariupol, Bucha and so many other cities.

The line about Donetsk is also BS, unless you believe that Putin's victory in a couple of week's time is going to be totally democratic. Especially after Russia has spent 10 years stealing everything then sending most of the menfolk off to die in the SMO with their almost up to date Mosin's in their hands. Convenient way to do some ethnic cleansing really.

Worth remembering Kherson apparently voted to join Russia, which is what happens when half the inhabitants flee and the other half have a friendly guy with a gun go to great lengths to make sure they vote correctly. Funnily enough the people in the city seemed to be pretty happy to see Russia leave again.

You'll be telling me that Ukraine killed 14000 people in the occupied territories before the invasion next.

Gaza is also a tragedy, but this is a Ukraine thread, so start another, alongside say a Syria thread, or Georgia, Chechnya or anywhere else that Russia has deeply f*ked over

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Post by navyblueshorts Thu 14 Mar 2024, 10:59 am

TRUSSMAN66 wrote:....we threw the red white and blue shield and everybody had to yield...

...But we "Scholars" never forget. Wink Wink
Uh huh. That's why us scholars know that it was really the Soviet forces that defeated Hitler's Reich; not the good ol' U.S. of A. Just helping you out w/ your history thumbsup.
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Post by navyblueshorts Thu 14 Mar 2024, 11:05 am

TRUSSMAN66 wrote:
lostinwales wrote:You really want to go down the Zelensky rabbit hole?  You really do swallow some very dodgy propaganda.  Zelensky did use some questionable routes to protect the money he made through his media interests. You know why?  Because Ukraine had a bit of a corruption problem at the time,  something that is still an issue but one they have been working hard to improve.
As for compromise with Russia how much land,  how many dead civilians are you prepared for someone else to pay? Russia has not acted in good faith and any peace settlement that does not involve Russian withdrawal will just be putting off the conflict for a few more years.

Thank goodness a guy who puts his opposition in jail and hides money is around to fight this corruption...

Ukraine will have to concede some territory.......and Russia will have to concede to the fact they won't get as much as they want...So both can declare victory......Both need to save face.

How many dead civilians should the war carry on endlessly ??

The majority of people for example in Donetsk don't want to be Ukrainian statistics show.....All wars end in compromise generally and this one will be no different.  I want it to end sooner rather than later.  Because I care about lives.

Talking about civilians have you written that you care about 14,000 dead Palestinian children ??.....Can't remember you mentioning that genocide or maybe I missed it....Some people think genocide is okay if the "right" people are doing it.

I'm sure you won't be one of them......
It's not just the civilians in Donetsk that matter here. The Donbas area is a major resource, irrespective of the civilians. Why would Ukraine cede that?

As for your comment on the Palestinian children, that's pretty cheap. We're talking here about Ukraine, which has zero to do with that other Israeli atrocity. Stop artificially conflating the two as a failed attempt to pick holes in someone else's point/argument.
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Post by TRUSSMAN66 Thu 21 Mar 2024, 10:31 am

navyblueshorts wrote:
TRUSSMAN66 wrote:
lostinwales wrote:You really want to go down the Zelensky rabbit hole?  You really do swallow some very dodgy propaganda.  Zelensky did use some questionable routes to protect the money he made through his media interests. You know why?  Because Ukraine had a bit of a corruption problem at the time,  something that is still an issue but one they have been working hard to improve.
As for compromise with Russia how much land,  how many dead civilians are you prepared for someone else to pay? Russia has not acted in good faith and any peace settlement that does not involve Russian withdrawal will just be putting off the conflict for a few more years.

Thank goodness a guy who puts his opposition in jail and hides money is around to fight this corruption...

Ukraine will have to concede some territory.......and Russia will have to concede to the fact they won't get as much as they want...So both can declare victory......Both need to save face.

How many dead civilians should the war carry on endlessly ??

The majority of people for example in Donetsk don't want to be Ukrainian statistics show.....All wars end in compromise generally and this one will be no different.  I want it to end sooner rather than later.  Because I care about lives.

Talking about civilians have you written that you care about 14,000 dead Palestinian children ??.....Can't remember you mentioning that genocide or maybe I missed it....Some people think genocide is okay if the "right" people are doing it.

I'm sure you won't be one of them......
It's not just the civilians in Donetsk that matter here. The Donbas area is a major resource, irrespective of the civilians. Why would Ukraine cede that?

As for your comment on the Palestinian children, that's pretty cheap. We're talking here about Ukraine, which has zero to do with that other Israeli atrocity. Stop artificially conflating the two as a failed attempt to pick holes in someone else's point/argument.

It has got something to do with Israel..

Remember killing of mass citizens is a war crime..and....Kllling of mass citizens isn't a war crime..Take your pick.

As for Donetsk sorry to break it to you....But this war isn't ending without a compromise..All wars do generally read your history...

Better now than later....Because I care about Ukrainian families......and I care about Palestinian ones too because I'm not a hypocrite.

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Post by navyblueshorts Thu 21 Mar 2024, 11:48 am

TRUSSMAN66 wrote:
navyblueshorts wrote:
TRUSSMAN66 wrote:
lostinwales wrote:You really want to go down the Zelensky rabbit hole?  You really do swallow some very dodgy propaganda.  Zelensky did use some questionable routes to protect the money he made through his media interests. You know why?  Because Ukraine had a bit of a corruption problem at the time,  something that is still an issue but one they have been working hard to improve.
As for compromise with Russia how much land,  how many dead civilians are you prepared for someone else to pay? Russia has not acted in good faith and any peace settlement that does not involve Russian withdrawal will just be putting off the conflict for a few more years.

Thank goodness a guy who puts his opposition in jail and hides money is around to fight this corruption...

Ukraine will have to concede some territory.......and Russia will have to concede to the fact they won't get as much as they want...So both can declare victory......Both need to save face.

How many dead civilians should the war carry on endlessly ??

The majority of people for example in Donetsk don't want to be Ukrainian statistics show.....All wars end in compromise generally and this one will be no different.  I want it to end sooner rather than later.  Because I care about lives.

Talking about civilians have you written that you care about 14,000 dead Palestinian children ??.....Can't remember you mentioning that genocide or maybe I missed it....Some people think genocide is okay if the "right" people are doing it.

I'm sure you won't be one of them......
It's not just the civilians in Donetsk that matter here. The Donbas area is a major resource, irrespective of the civilians. Why would Ukraine cede that?

As for your comment on the Palestinian children, that's pretty cheap. We're talking here about Ukraine, which has zero to do with that other Israeli atrocity. Stop artificially conflating the two as a failed attempt to pick holes in someone else's point/argument.

It has got something to do with Israel..

Remember killing of mass citizens is a war crime..and....Kllling of mass citizens isn't a war crime..Take your pick.

As for Donetsk sorry to break it to you....But this war isn't ending without a compromise..All wars do generally read your history...

Better now than later....Because I care about Ukrainian families......and I care about Palestinian ones too because I'm not a hypocrite.
Nice retrospective try re. dragging Israel in. Agree w/ you re. the hypocrisy of accusations levelled at Russia by politicians cf. those levelled at Israel. Perhaps make your ironic observation a little clearer from the off next time? It's not the point you were making though, is it? You were trashing someone else's point on some equivalency basis, when they were simply talking about Ukraine. They were under no obligation to say anything re. Israel, or to justify their argument by also including Israel on the same lines; the point re. Ukraine is pretty free-standing and doesn't rely on Israel's behaviour. At all.

Most wars end in compromise of some sort, I agree. The compromise here is that Russia compromises on Putin's absurd demands and retreats to it's pre-2014 boundaries. That's compromise for you. I agree it's not what you're suggesting, but it's what Ukraine might reasonably expect 'the West', NATO and the UN to support them in; don't you think?
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Post by TRUSSMAN66 Thu 21 Mar 2024, 12:44 pm

I've said how I feel...Not interested in arguing with anyone...

Wars end in compromise....and that's all she wrote really..

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